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Risk Environment

Applies to countries with weapons-usable nuclear materials
Applies to countries without weapons-usable nuclear materials

Examines factors that contribute or detract from a state’s ability to prevent nuclear theft – such as government corruption, prospects for instability, the effectiveness of governance, and the known presence of groups seeking to illicitly acquire nuclear materials.

Scoring

Weighted total of the following four indicators:

5.1) Political Stability

5.2) Effective Governance

5.3) Pervasiveness of Corruption

5.4) Groups Interested in Illicitly Acquiring Materials

Description

The Risk Environment can affect the nuclear materials security conditions in a country. Factors include political stability, effective governance, pervasiveness of corruption, and the presence of groups interested in illicitly acquiring nuclear materials.

Indicators

Scoring

Scored 0-20 where 20=most favorable nuclear materials security conditions. The Political Stability indicator score is the combination of the subindicator scores within this indicator (see Scoring Notes).

Description

A lack of political stability may enable lapses in nuclear materials security.

Scoring

Scored 0-8 where 8=most favorable nuclear materials security conditions. The Effective Governance indicator score is the combination of the subindicator scores within this indicator (see Scoring Notes).

Description

A lack of effective governance can compromise a country’s ability to establish and sustain policies to secure nuclear materials.

Scoring

Scored 0-4 where 4=most favorable nuclear materials security conditions. The Pervasiveness of Corruption indicator score is the same as the subindicator score (see Scoring Notes).

Description

Corruption affects the potential for theft of nuclear materials and the rigor with which nuclear material security measures are implemented.

Scoring

Scored 0-2 where 2=most favorable nuclear materials security conditions. The Group(s) Interested in Illicitly Acquiring Materials indicator score is the same as the subindicator score (see Scoring Notes).

Description

The presence and capabilities of terrorist or criminal group(s), particularly those with the goal of illicitly acquiring nuclear materials, raises the risk of theft of nuclear materials.